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29 Jul 2025

πŸ” Silver Technical Outlook – XAG/USD Eyes Mid-Term Support Zone Around $37.85

The silver market (XAG/USD) is showing signs of short-term weakness following an aggressive rally from April lows. After peaking near $39.20, price action has turned corrective, a move that was clearly anticipated by bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart β€” and later confirmed by Friday’s sharp bearish impulse.

As of now, Silver is consolidating slightly above $38.00, the July 29 intraday low, but downside pressure remains evident. The RSI on the 4-hour timeframe is hovering close to oversold territory, yet not fully exhausted, indicating that the current dip still has room to extend β€” especially with the US Dollar maintaining upside momentum.

πŸ”» Key Technical Levels to Watch:
β€’ Trendline Support: $37.85 – Mid-term ascending trendline from April lows
β€’ Horizontal Support: $37.55 – July 15–17 support zone
β€’ Break Confirmation: A decisive break below this support cluster could validate a completed 5-wave bullish cycle (Elliott Wave) and signal the start of an A-B-C corrective phase.

πŸ”Ό Upside Barriers:
β€’ Immediate resistance at $38.35 (Monday’s high)
β€’ Followed by $38.75 (July 24 low) and $39.55 – a critical level where sellers previously re-emerged.

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