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28 Jul 2025

🌍 Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: OPEC+ Uncertainty and Export Shifts Stir Market Volatility

πŸ” Key Highlights
Venezuelan oil exports may rise by 200,000 barrels/day, potentially easing global supply constraints.

WTI crude remains bearish under key EMAs, with market awaiting breakout direction.

Natural gas holds support above $3.058 but lacks bullish momentum.

πŸ›’οΈ Market Sentiment Overview
Global energy markets remain volatile amid geopolitical uncertainties and major trade realignments. WTI crude dropped over 1% last Friday, following expectations that Venezuela may boost exports significantlyβ€”triggered by potential shifts in U.S. policy toward PDVSA partners.

Earlier disruptions in the Black Sea and Turkey offered brief support, but overall risk appetite has improved. OPEC+ is not expected to implement new measures, keeping oil and gas markets on edge.

πŸ”₯ Natural Gas (NG) Outlook
Current Price: $3.095

Key Support Zone: $3.057–$3.191

Resistance Zones:

50 EMA: $3.181

100 EMA: $3.267

Fib Clusters: $3.342 & $3.409

πŸ”½ A break below $3.057 could target $2.973 or even $2.902.
πŸ”Ό For buyers to regain momentum, a breakout above $3.275 with volume confirmation is required.

πŸ›’οΈ WTI Crude Oil (CL) Forecast
Current Price: $65.00

Support Levels: $64.95, $63.98, $63.01

Resistance Zones: $66.56, $67.64

Trendline Watch: Price below 50-EMA ($65.87) and 100-EMA ($66.22)

WTI is moving within a tightening wedge. Unless bulls reclaim $66.56 with strong volume, the bearish trend remains dominant.

🌍 Brent Crude Oil Forecast
Current Price: $68.29

Support: $68.00, $67.68, $66.75

Resistance: $68.94, $69.80

EMA Watch: Still below both 50 ($68.89) and 100 EMA ($68.93)

A close below $68.00 confirms weakness. A bounce from the trendline could retest the $68.94 level.

πŸ“ˆ Final Thoughts from Gold Scalping Signals
This is a critical period for commodity traders. With OPEC+ uncertainty and shifting global exports, volatility is expected to persist in oil and gas markets.

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