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30 Jul 2025

🟑 Gold Technical Analysis: Bearish Rejection at $3,450 – Pullback or Breakout Setup?

Spot gold (XAU/USD) continues to struggle at the $3,450 resistance zone, printing a bearish hammer last week β€” a possible signal of near-term weakness. Since reaching an all-time high of $3,500 in April 2025, price action has been largely sideways, suggesting a broader consolidation phase is underway.

πŸ”» Bearish Technical Signal:
The bearish hammer near $3,450 reinforces resistance at that level.

Repeated rejection of this zone signals fatigue among buyers.

A confirmed break below $3,250 could accelerate the downside, with eyes on $3,000 β€” a key structural support.

🧠 What This Means for Scalpers & Swing Traders:
Short-term, gold may correct lower to find a base before any renewed attempt to retest or break $3,500. The deeper the dip (ideally holding above $3,000), the stronger the eventual bounce potential.

πŸ“ˆ Long-Term View Still Bullish
Despite short-term weakness, the weekly chart remains constructive. Gold has broken out of a symmetrical broadening wedge followed by an ascending triangle β€” powerful continuation patterns.

These moves have fueled rallies from $2,000 to $3,500, and

The current consolidation is viewed as bullish absorption, not reversal.

In fact, a clean break above $3,500 could initiate a macro extension leg toward $4,000 β€” possibly within Q4 2025.

🎯 Scalping Focus:
πŸ”Έ Resistance: $3,450 β†’ $3,500

πŸ”Έ Support: $3,250 β†’ $3,000

πŸ”Έ Bias: Short-term Bearish, Long-term Bullish

πŸ” Watch for shorting opportunities below $3,450 and buying zones if price nears $3,250 or $3,000 with bullish confirmation.

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Disclaimer: This is general market information only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and consult a licensed advisor.
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