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28 Jul 2025

📰 Dow Jones Futures Climb Amid US-EU Trade Optimism and Steady Fed Outlook

🔎 Market Insight:
Dow Jones (US30) futures are trading higher at 45,160 (+0.18%) during Monday’s European session, supported by renewed market optimism after a major US-EU trade agreement. S&P 500 futures also rose by 0.31%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.50%, reflecting improved investor sentiment.

The deal establishes a 15% US tariff on most European goods—half the previously threatened rate—set to take effect on August 1. In return, the EU has pledged $600 billion in new investments into the US economy, boosting investor confidence.

🌍 Global Developments Supporting Risk Sentiment:
The US and China are expected to extend their tariff truce by another 90 days, fostering hopes of smoother trade relations.

The US has paused export controls on key tech to China to support negotiations.

More than 100 major S&P 500 firms, including Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple, will report earnings this week.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep rates steady between 4.25%–4.50% on Wednesday.

These combined developments are driving strong “risk-on” sentiment, leading to gains in major US indices ahead of the NYSE opening bell.

🔔 What Traders Should Watch:
Wednesday’s Fed interest rate decision and FOMC press conference

Second-quarter PCE inflation data

Market pricing already shows 62% odds for a rate cut in September (CME FedWatch tool)

Any clues from Powell on future monetary easing will impact Dow and USD-based assets significantly

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